International Workshop Advances in Flood Forecasting and the Implications for Risk Management

Programme

Date: 
25.05.2010 - 26.05.2010
Location: 

Alkmaar, Netherlands

Tentative Programme and Time Table

Day 1 - 25th May 2010

Registration - from 08.30 a.m.

09.00
Welcome by Manfred Spreafico, president of CHR

09.15
Welcome by Roeland Allewijn, Director Division Water and Use, Centre for Water Management

09.30
Keynote by Günter Blöschl - Technical University Vienna

Theme block 1 - New approaches to flood forecasting
Chair: Johannes Cullmann / Rapporteur: Eric Sprokkereef

10.15 - 10.45
Advances in Flood Forecasting with Delft-FEWS - Martin Ebel, Deltares

10.45 - 11.15
Tea/Coffee - Posters

11.15 - 11.45
Meteorological ensemble forecasting - Paul Becker, German Weather Service

11.45 - 12.15
Quantification of uncertainty using Bayesian approaches - Ezio Todini, University of Bologna

12.15 - 13.15
Lunch

13.15 - 13.45
The COST731 Action - Propagation of uncertainty from meteorology into hydrological models - Massimiliano Zappa, Swiss Federal Research Institute, WSL Birmensdorf

13.45 - 14.15
Anomalies in the Meuse behaviour and how to model flood events - Hubert H.G. Savenije, Delft University of Technology

14.15 - 14.35
Two strategies for the quantification of uncertainty in the European Flood Alert System - Peter Salamon, Joint Research Centre, Ispra

14.35 - 15.05
Discussion of theme 1

15.05 - 15.30
2 min. oral poster presentations

15.30 - 16.00
Tea/Coffee - Posters

Theme block 2 - Aspects of decision making for flood damage prevention
Chair: Günter Blöschl / Rapporteur: Sebastian Kofalk

16.00 - 16.30
Decision support systems and decision making under known uncertainty - Jörg Dietrich, Leibnitz University of Hannover

16.30 - 17.00
Disaster management and dealing with the response on flooding - Kees van Ruiten, Deltares

17.00 - 17.30
More information is not always better: Coping with uncertainty in water management, Marcela Brugnach, University of Twente

17.30 - 18.00
Quantification of uncertainty in flood risk assessments - Bruno Merz, GFZ Potsdam

18.00 - 18.30
Discussion of theme 2

19.30
Participants' dinner

Day 2 - 26th May 2010

Theme block 3 - Acceptance and communication of flood warnings
Chair: Michael Bruen / Rapporteur: Peter Krahe

09.00 - 09.30
On the way to Ensemble Hydrological Forecasts: Lessons learned from MAP D-PHASE - André Walser, MeteoSwiss

09.30 - 10.00
Meet the press! Nobody cares about flood prevention... - Joachim Mahrholdt, ZDF German Television

10.00 - 10.30
Warning communication, communication warning - Dominique Bérod, Swiss Federal Office for the Environment

10.30 - 11.00
Tea/Coffee - Posters

11.00 - 11.30
The media do not report on forecasts, they report on events - Michael Schanne, Zurich University of Applied Sciences

11.30 - 12.00
The role of affect in communicating flood risks - Heinz Gutscher, University of Zürich

12.00 - 12.30
Discussion of theme 3

12.30 - 13.00
Summary and conclusions of the workshop

13.00
Closing of the workshop

Evening event

Participants' dinner near the conference centre on 25 May at 19.30 pm