|
1. |
General introduction and objectives |
|
2. |
Executive summary of principal achievements and results |
|
2.1 |
Development of a comprehensive GIS‑supported database |
|
2.2 |
Development and calibration of the regional model and application of the climate change scenarios |
|
2.3 |
Development and calibration of the catchment models and application of the climate change scenarios |
|
2.4 |
Principal results of the RHINEFLOW model |
|
2.5 |
Principal results of the catchment models |
|
2.6 |
Effects of land use and climate changes |
|
3. |
Socio‑economic implications of hydrological changes ‑ an overview |
|
4. |
Summary of policy implications |
|
5. |
Scientific issues |
|
5.1 |
Introduction |
|
5.2 |
Scope of the project |
|
5.3 |
General model characteristics |
|
5.4 |
Model requirements for the entire Rhine basin |
|
5.5 |
Scale issues |
|
5,6 |
General approach of the study |
|
5.7 |
Scientific issues for the applied models in the subcatchments |
|
6. |
Methodological approaches |
|
6.1 |
General |
|
6.2 |
Methodological approach for the applied models in the subcatchments |
|
6.3 |
Water balance model for the entire Rhine basin |
|
7. |
Project database |
|
7.1 |
Introduction |
|
7.2 |
Development of the project database |
|
7.2.1 |
Data collection strategies |
|
7.2.2 |
Description of the database |
|
7.3 |
Databases for the detailed models of the subcatchments |
|
8. |
Description of the Rhine basin ‑ regional scale and catchment scale |
|
8.1 |
The Rhine basin ‑ general characteristics |
|
8.2 |
Selected catchments in the Alps |
|
8.3 |
Catchments in the middle mountain area |
|
8.4 |
Lowland area |
|
9. |
Development and description of the hydrological models |
|
9.1 |
Summary |
|
9.2 |
Description of the models |
|
9.2.1 |
The IRMB model for Murg, Ergolz, Broye |
|
9.2.2 |
Development of an additional module to IRMB model for mountainous regions ‑ the Landquart basin |
|
9.3 |
Model development for the Thur catchment |
|
9.3.1 |
General |
|
9.3.2 |
The grid based model |
|
9.3.3 |
The representative hydrological unit area model HBVEVATH |
|
9.4 |
Development and description of the Saar model |
|
9.5 |
Development and description of the lowland model for the Vecht |
|
9.5.1 |
Hydrological component |
|
9.5.2 |
Flow‑routing component |
|
9.6 |
Concept of the RHINEFLOW model |
|
10. |
Climate change scenarios |
|
10, 1 |
Introduction |
|
10.2 |
Climate change scenarios for the Rhine basin |
|
10.3 |
Murg, Ergolz and Broye catchments |
|
10.4 |
Thur catchment |
|
10.5 |
Saar catchment |
|
10.6 |
Vecht catchment |
|
11. |
Detailed description of results |
|
11. 1 |
Results on catchment scale |
|
11. 1. 1 |
Murg, Ergolz and Broye catchments |
|
11.1.1.1 |
Model calibration and validation |
|
11.1.1.2 |
Climate change impact on hydrology |
|
11.1.1.3 |
Interpretations of selected scenario results |
|
11.1.2 |
Thurcatchment |
|
11.1.2.1 |
Model calibration and validation |
|
11.1.2.2 |
Model runs with climate change scenarios |
|
11.1.2.3 |
Interpretation of selected scenario results |
|
11.1.3 |
Sauer and Saar catchments |
|
11.1.3.1 |
Model calibration and validation |
|
11.1.3.2 |
Model runs with climate change scenarios |
|
11.1.3.3 |
Interpretation of selected scenario results |
|
11.1.4 |
OverijsselscheVeclit catchment |
|
11.1.4.1 |
Model calibration and validation |
|
11.1.4.2 |
Model runs with climate change scenarios |
|
11.1.4.3 |
Interpretation of the selected scenario results |
|
11.2 |
Results on the regional scale ‑The Rhine basin |
|
11.2.1 |
Model calibration and validation |
|
11.2.2 |
Model runs with climate change scenarios |
|
11.23 |
Interpretation of selected scenario results |
|
12. |
Synthesis of the model results |
|
13. |
Land use scenarios in the Rhine basin |
|
13.1 |
Introduction |
|
13.2 |
Crop production |
|
13.3 |
Development of land use change scenarios |
|
13.4 |
Results |
|
13.5 |
Implications for hydrology: Overijsselsche Vecht case study |
|
13.6 |
Conclusions |
|
14. |
Impacts of hydrological changes in selected sectors and regions |
|
14.1 |
Inland Navigation on the Rhine river |
|
14.1.1 |
German part of the Rhine |
|
14.1.2 |
Inland navigation in the Netherlands |
|
14.2 |
Hydropower generation in Switzerland |
|
14.3 |
Water supply |
|
14.4 |
Water quality ‑ water temperatures in Switzerland |
|
14.5 |
Floods |
|
14.5.1 |
Alpine rivers |
|
14.5.2 |
German part of the Rhine |
|
14.5.3 |
Floods, safety and flood damage in the lowland part of the Rhine basin |
|
14.6 |
Winter tourism in the Alpine region |
|
14.7 |
Case study: impact on the Usselmeer lake |
|
14.8 |
Case study: water supply and salinity in the Rhine‑Meuse estuary |
|
15. |
Impacts of Climate Changes and Policy implications |
|
15.1 |
Context for interpretation |
|
15.1.1 |
With regard to the climate scenarios |
|
15.1.2 |
With regard to the models |
|
15.2 |
Impacts |
|
15.2.1 |
Impacts identified for the entire Rhine basin |
|
15.2.2 |
Impacts identified for alpine and pre‑alpine situations in the upper part of the Rhine basin |
|
15.2.3 |
Impacts identified for the central part of the basin |
|
15.2.4 |
Impacts identified for the lowland part of the basin |
|
15.3 |
Policy Directions |
|
15.4 |
Policy Recommendations |
|
15.4.1 |
Long‑term planning |
|
15.4.2 |
Short‑term planning |
|
15.4.3 |
Policy recommendations with reference to river functions |
|
16. |
Link of the CHR results to the EU dimension of the project |
|
17. |
Priorities of future research ‑ Which way to choose? |
|
18. |
Acknowledgements |